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Sucker Rally in Financial Sector?




Topic: Sucker Rally in Financial Sector?

The flame that caused the financial sector to rise like a hot balloon earlier this week, seems to have flickered today bringing its accent to a screeching halt. While one bad trading day can hardly be considered a crash, it does make many investors wonder if the rally was of the "sucker" variety. Nonetheless, I contend that in this sector, as in most others, it's a matter of identifying the likely survivors and then simply holding your nose until they stop stinking up the place.

And the survivors may not be so obvious. We've seen some stalwarts fall (Bear Stearns) despite strong performance in most areas. Clearly, exposure to the mortgage crisis might place an otherwise strong financial performer in the L (as in loser) column. Still, some banks will certainly still be in operation once the proverbial dust settles on the beleaguered sector. Pick a winner!

I think that's clear...

But will the economy and the market be tied to oil indefinitely? Will every rise or fall in price per barrel generate a sympathetic move in U.S. markets?

oil is driving everything

if we see oil at 110 or below i think we will see the regionals that are in good shape(USB etc) back to a decent level...my only question is what are the multiples going to settle at?i think we have to accept the fact that we have already saw the high on even the good banks for 2008....the dividends may make for a break even year.....

Sucker Rally?

I think this week's rally in the financial sector had more to do with the drop in oil prices and the strengthening dollar (against the Euro). Oil rose a bit this morning and the financial sector took a little hit as a result.